The U.S. April CPI drops today at 8:30 AM ET, and this one carries more weight than usual. Wall Street expects headline CPI at +0.6% MoM and 3.7% YoY, up from March's 3.3%. Core CPI is forecast at 2.7% YoY. The main culprits: surging oil prices from the Middle East conflict and lingering tariff pass-through hitting consumer prices. The timing makes this print especially loaded. Kevin Warsh is expected to take over as Fed Chair when Powell's term expires on May 15. Markets already read his style as more explicitly hawkish. Bank of America has pushed its rate cut forecast all the way to the second half of 2027, scrapping any hopes of easing this year. BTC is sitting just below the $82K-$84K resistance zone it failed to crack last week. Crypto derivatives open interest surged 22% this past week, with heavy positioning on both sides. Polymarket traders are pricing a 100% chance inflation stays above 3% in 2026, with 52% odds it tops 4%. A hot number slams the door on rate cuts and pressures risk assets. A cool print could give bulls the fuel they've been waiting for. Are you trading through today's CPI or sitting this one out? #USAprilCPITonight