#StrategyMaySellBTC
About StrategyMaySellBTC
Strategy posted a $12.5B net loss in Q1, holding 818,334 BTC at avg cost $75,537. On the earnings call, Saylor said the company will "most likely sell some BTC to pay dividends." CEO Phong Le confirmed selling for USD or debt management is not off the table. The driver: STRC preferred stock dividends plus debt interest total ~$1.5B annually. Saylor added selling could unlock ~$2.2B in tax savings. This is the first time Strategy has walked back its "never sell BTC" stance since 2020.
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#Saylor Plans to Sell BTC to Pay Dividends Is Saylor selling BTC a sign of surrender, or the next bigger move?
From declaring "never sell BTC" in 2020 to now openly stating in the earnings call that he will likely sell some BTC to pay dividends, Saylor has followed this path for a full six years.
🔴 This statement carries weight beyond just a change in holding strategy; it is the first crack in Strategy’s entire narrative framework.
➤ Real financial pressure
Q1 net loss of $12.5 billion, 818,334 $BTC with an average cost of $75,537, currently underwater. STRC preferred stock dividends plus debt interest total about $1.5 billion annually, a figure that cannot be solved by mere persistence—it must be paid in real cash every year.
➤ Selling for tax savings
Saylor also mentioned another point: selling BTC can unlock about $2.2 billion in tax savings. This number is not forced but proactively calculated.
Imagine, is there a deeper calculation behind this?
🧐 Understanding Strategy’s business model
▪️ Business logic: issue stocks and bonds to raise funds, convert the raised money into BTC holdings, and use BTC appreciation to support stock premiums.
"Never sell" is the credit foundation of this model because once selling occurs, the market will question whether this cycle can continue. But what if the purpose of selling is not cashing out but using the tax savings from selling to free up more capital for financing, then buying more BTC?
💡 Perhaps this concession is not breaking the original logic but adding a new link to the flywheel. Selling is not exiting but a prelude to re-leveraging.
➤ Of course, this interpretation requires one premise: BTC prices remain within a reasonable range, and the financing window is still open.
If BTC continues to fall, this operation will further complicate holding costs.
➤ What Saylor is betting on is not the sale itself but that after selling, he can complete the next round of financing and buying at a lower cost and larger scale. This is a very aggressive judgment.
Is "never sell" dead?
Literally, yes, this phrase no longer holds. But what Saylor truly maintains has never been these four words but the identity of Strategy as BTC’s most steadfast holder.
As long as this identity remains unshaken, the narrative continues.
Whether this is a passive adjustment forced by financial pressure or a carefully laid capital operation foreshadowing, the final answer lies in the next financing announcement.
What do you think?👇
$BTC
Expectations vs Reality
I think time-based capitulation is more likely than a continuation to new highs.
$PI $TON
#StrategyMaySellBTC

Finally abandoned by everyone,
because BTC has been oscillating around 80000 without dropping.
I see a bear market; this rebound at 82800 has already hit the ceiling,
many are calling it a bull market, saying a breakout above 80000 is just the beginning.
Shorting recently has been a no-show,
while going long has been raking it in.
A lot of big players have been frequently posting about their drinking and late nights.
Looks like those calling for a short are under too much pressure.
Really afraid it’ll hit 90K,
a frog says he wants to eat a pound of sh*t,
I’m scared that others might send me half a pound; should I eat it or not?
But I have a hunch that the US stock market is about to drop; it’s already surged so high, it’s bound to take a hit and massacre the retail traders.
There’s no way it keeps going up.
Many say that the two old guys are meeting in the next few days, the stock market will rise again,
but many times, it’s just us retail traders being naive.
Often, what seems like good news ends up being a guillotine instead.
Retail traders get slaughtered.
Then, it will also drag BTC down.
Anyway, I think it’s already topped out; any short positions above 80000, you better hold tight.
If you don’t have any now,
how about shorting at the current price of 80200?
Oh boy,
they're afraid I’ll give a signal, and when I do, BTC is just going to shoot up to 180K.
A sh*tcoin is just a sh*tcoin; I’m acting like a war wolf now, do you think I can pull it off? $BTC
#OKXPreIPOPerpsGoLive #AprilNFPDropsTonight #TrumpCallsItALoveTap
🔭 83K Filled, But The Story Isn’t Over
BTC has closed the 83K CME gap, but I don’t read that as a clean reversal. To me, it looks more like a relief push into a crowded zone, the kind that can briefly feel decisive while the larger structure is still shaky.
🕸️ The trend still looks more defensive than impulsive: momentum hasn’t expanded in a convincing way, flow isn’t showing real strength, and sentiment has turned upbeat faster than the chart has earned it. That mix often produces a sharp emotional move, not necessarily a durable change in regime. If price can’t build acceptance after this pop, I think the market is still vulnerable to revisiting lower levels.
👁️🗨️ The important question isn’t whether the gap was filled — it’s whether BTC can prove this was accumulation, not just a final psychological sweep.
⚠️ Personal analysis only. Not financial advice. DYOR. #BTC #Crypto #MarketStructure

Strategy CEO Phong Le says the company will only sell $BTC in specific cases like paying dividends or tax optimization. They will first evaluate whether selling Bitcoin or issuing new shares gives better “Bitcoin per share” value for shareholders.
Currently, Strategy holds 818,334 BTC worth over $66B. 🚀
$BTC #NFPBeatsAgainCutsFade #USIranCeasefireMOUTalk #OKXPreIPOPerpsGoLive
Sorry, I’ve been feeling a bit shaky these past couple of days.
Opened a short on $ETH , then bailed,
I know it's weak,
but I'm scared it might suddenly pump,
A lot of big players are saying ETH is headed to 2650, going solo on the charts.
Honestly, I don’t buy that?
But looking at $SOL , it suddenly showed some strength, and I’m still jittery.
I’ve been studying in Chengdu these last few days,
worried it might mess with my mood, opening trades is tough; not opening feels like losing out.
Retail traders always wanna make a quick buck, but often end up with nothing.
Crypto and stock trading are connected; a decade of bullish A-shares, trading has cycles, life is about going with the flow.
All the influencers say the bull market is here, but I’m just watching for a rebound, still in a mid-bear market,
I feel out of place, like I’m a relic of the past.
Monthly charts show space, weekly charts show trends,
BTC hasn’t crossed that bull-bear line yet, the 30-day moving average is still pressing down.
If you shorted above 80000, hold tight; if you didn’t get in above 80800, start shorting in batches.
I’m sorry to everyone, I called a short at 15K,
you know how I’ve been living these past years?
Saying this feels like I’m putting on a show, wallowing in self-pity,
but honestly, I want to say BTC has already started to stagnate above, the whales are slowly distributing their chips,
a drop needs a catalyst,
could it be the 15th when everyone’s expecting a massive pump,
the meeting of those two old-timers?
The whales always go against the trend; the more everyone thinks it’ll pump,
the more it’s a guillotine waiting to drop.
Sigh, am I losing it again?
I’m back to my old thoughts. $BTC
#NFPBeatsAgainCutsFade #USIranCeasefireMOUTalk #OKXPreIPOPerpsGoLive
My crypto game plan is simple:
1. Don’t get shaken out during pullbacks.
2. Ride the uptrend without messing up my spot bag.
3. Wait patiently for $BTC dominance to fall
4. Wait patiently for $SOL to 5x-8x
5. Wait patiently for $ETH to 3x-4x
6. Hold my early projects until retail FOMO kicks in.
7. When the time’s right, I’ll call the TOP publicly.
8. Convert to cash, stack USDT.
9. Then, shift profits into real assets when the recession happens.
I’ve done it last cycle,
And I’ll do it again this bull run.
This is how we stay ahead.
I’ll take you along with me.
$BTC
Unrealized Profit Margin is hitting levels not seen since June 2025.
Traders are expected to start taking some profits here.
Be very careful…

🪐 BTC Rotation, But Not a Clean Break
This looks less like a celebration of altseason and more like Bitcoin losing marginal bid while risk appetite tests the edges. A $145.65 million BTC ETF outflow alongside tiny ETH and selective SOL/XRP inflows tells me capital is becoming picky, not fearless.
The bull case is simple: rotation is how a market breathes before a broader expansion, and early inflows into SOL and XRP suggest the market is probing for higher-beta exposure. The bear case is cleaner: this may just be cautious de-risking of BTC with no real conviction behind the alt bids yet. I lean slightly bearish on the near-term tape because the flows are fragmented, not coordinated — that usually means narrative, not commitment.
👁️ The sharp read: BTC is still the gravity well; until the outflows stop, alt inflows look more like scouting than regime change.
⚠️ Personal analysis only. Not financial advice. DYOR. #BTC #ETH #SOL

US ETF FLOWS MAY 8: HEAVY BTC OUTFLOW, ALTCOINS SEE MODEST INFLOWS 📉💰
• Bitcoin ETF 🪙: Significant outflow of -$145.65 million.
• Ethereum ETF 🔷: Modest inflow of +$3.57 million.
• Altcoin ETF 🌊:
• XRP: +$6.04 million
• SOL: +$6.23 million
• Others (DOGE, LINK, LTC, AVAX, HBAR, DOT): near zero.
Institutional capital continues to pull back from Bitcoin while select altcoins like XRP and SOL are starting to attract modest inflows.
This suggests early signs of capital rotation from BTC into altcoins, although overall ETF sentiment remains cautious.
$SOL $XRP $LINK
#CLARITYActMarkupNext #SECCryptoClarity

🔭 83K Filled, But The Story Isn’t Over
BTC has closed the 83K CME gap, but I don’t read that as a clean reversal. To me, it looks more like a relief push into a crowded zone, the kind that can briefly feel decisive while the larger structure is still shaky.
🕸️ The trend still looks more defensive than impulsive: momentum hasn’t expanded in a convincing way, flow isn’t showing real strength, and sentiment has turned upbeat faster than the chart has earned it. That mix often produces a sharp emotional move, not necessarily a durable change in regime. If price can’t build acceptance after this pop, I think the market is still vulnerable to revisiting lower levels.
👁️🗨️ The important question isn’t whether the gap was filled — it’s whether BTC can prove this was accumulation, not just a final psychological sweep.
⚠️ Personal analysis only. Not financial advice. DYOR. #BTC #Crypto #MarketStructure

$BTC $82k REJECTED! SHORTING THE TOP 📉
Bitcoin tagged $82,000 but failed the daily close. That was the line in the sand. No hold, no bull continuation. Simple as that.
The ascending channel is still there, but the structure is looking heavy. I have averaged into my short position. I am betting on the rejection until the market proves me wrong.
$BTC
The Iran vs US situation is pure noise. No real ceasefire yet—just conflicting headlines and temporary pauses. That uncertainty is the ultimate ceiling for price action right now.
Short bias remains until we get a clean daily close above $82k. This news-driven volatility cuts deep both ways.
Staying sharp. 👀
#AprilNFPDropsTonight #TrumpCallsItALoveTap #StrategyMaySellBTC $BTC $
₿ BITCOIN (BTC/USD) │ 07:30:07 10/5/2026
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
💰 80714 USD │ 24h: +0.70% 📈
━━━ 📐 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ━━━
EMA34: 76590 │ EMA89: 71655 │ Trend: UP
RSI H1: 58.43 │ Nearest Fibonacci: 23.6% = 79936.8
🏦 SMC H1: Bearish Buy-side swept, CHOCH bearish
🌊 Elliott: H1 Wave 5 ending (target 81080), H4 Wave C down (target 79181)
→ Price at the peak of Wave 5, SMC bearish, wait to sell.
━━━ 🧱 PRICE ZONE ━━━
🔴 R1: 81080 │ R2: 81708
🟢 S1: 79936.8 │ S2: 79181.5
━━━ 🧭 TREND ━━━
⏱ Day: 🔴 Bearish │ 📅 Week: 🟡 Sideway
→ H1 reversal + H4 Wave C down, but D1 still uptrend.
━━━ 🎯 SETUP ━━━
🤖 2 AI Voting: 2/2
🔴 SELL
📍 Entry: 80714 │ 🛑 SL: 81090
✅ TP1: 79559.15 (50%) │ TP2: 78691.75 (50%)
⚖️ R:R = 2.5:1
→ Entry at the H1 peak, bearish OB + EMA34/89 support for a sell. Stop loss close to swing high 81080.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
⚠️ For reference, manage capital at 1-2% per trade.
$BTC
$BTC short
80.5k bias level rejected again almost perfectly.
As long as price stays below it, local short bias remains active. Bears still have control short term.
But the important detail:
weekly POI continues holding well.
That means the aggressive higher timeframe uptrend is still alive for now. Bulls are wounded, not dead.
Main levels:
• 80.5k = key bias level
• 81k reclaim = momentum shift
• 83k = breakout continuation target
• CME close + 78k zone still acting as magnet
• 75k remains possible if weakness continues
Current idea:
short term bearish below 80.5k, but respecting the strength of the weekly trend.
Not adding fresh longs here.
Reducing some short exposure into profit instead.
Less is more after 5 trades this week.
#NFPBeatsAgainCutsFade #USIranCeasefireMOUTalk
$BTC So far, we have been perfectly mirroring 2022 price action.
However, we can see a slight shift in the fractal.
Instead of accepting below the previous wick low (which we saw in 2022), we are above it. From purely a structural perspective, with no cycle timing, with not comparing previous bear cycle lengths, JUST from a structure perspective we are structurally bullish.
I have stated that I will not flip bullish until August/September period. However, if we are being objective, we can see a slight shift/de-correlation from the 2022 fractal. As always, history isn't going to mirror 100% of the time. However, this gives us valuable information.
If we revisit the previous wick low (74K), bounce & end up pushing to 80K again, that is a textbook SR flip and we likely end up pushing to 90Ks regardless of my current positioning in the market. If we on the other hand, fail to hold the S/R flip, this would be the result in a swing fail and we end up retracing below 70K again.
So at the moment, even if you are bullish & wanted to look for longs, the retest to observe is 74s-75s which we need to hold above otherwise it's just a major deviation before lower prices.
Other than that, I thought I would bring this to light as I used 2022 to map out my 2025 bear market topping price action schematic which went viral. Now, we can see the slight shift, so observing PA on the retest is going to be quite crucial to determining what is going to happen next.
Just to clarify for anyone confused: I’m not bullish in terms of taking leverage long positions. I’m currently in a swing short because I expect continued choppy price action.
That said, I’ve mentioned in several posts that buying spot below the previous ATH (69K) was a good idea, though I didn’t personally build any long positions there. From a HTF perspective, the RR on the monthly chart suggests that over a 1–2 year horizon, anything below the ATH can be viewed as a dip.
#NFPBeatsAgainCutsFade #USIranCeasefireMOUTalk #OKXPreIPOPerpsGoLive
$BTC $ETH $SOL

$BTC
Yesterday, price tapped into support and bounced, but there was no strong buying strength behind it.
Now it’s weekend and traditional markets are closed so price action remains slow and we are currently compressed tightly between support and resistance.
However, the RSI is showing overbought conditions, the 200 EMA continues to act as resistance, and shows the overall trend still remains bearish.
Combined with the weak bounce from yesterday, this increases the probability of a breakdown soon.
Recent weekends have consistently shown bearish price action. If we continue to see weak momentum and eventually get a daily close below support, next week could easily close red.

₿ BITCOIN (BTC/USD) │ 23:30:17 9/5/2026
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
💰 80655.9 USD │ 24h: +0.88% 📈
━━━ 📐 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ━━━
EMA34: 76240.9 │ EMA89: 71521.6 │ Trend: 🟡SIDEWAY
RSI H1: 63.09 │ Nearest Fibonacci: 23.6%=79936.8
🏦 SMC: H1 bearish structure, buy signal swept, retest OB bearish
🌊 Elliott: H4 Wave C (ZIGZAG DOWN), target 79181.48
→ Price touched H4 resistance 80666.7, H1 bearish OB + H4 wave C bearish
━━━ 🧱 PRICE ZONE ━━━
🔴 R1: 80666.7 │ R2: 81708.3
🟢 S1: 79181.5 │ S2: 78202.0
━━━ 🧭 TREND ━━━
⏱ Day: 🔴 │ 📅 Week: 🟡
→ H4 wave C bearish + H4 RSI neutral, Waiting for a breakout
━━━ 🎯 SETUP ━━━
🤖 2 AI Voting: 2/2
🔴 SELL
📍 Entry: 80655.9 │ 🛑 SL: 81711.2
✅ TP1: 79181.5 (50%) │ TP2: 78202.0 (50%)
⚖️ R:R = 2.3:1
→ Entry at H4 resistance zone 80666.7, H1 bearish OB + H4 Zigzag Down. SL above the nearest swing high.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
⚠️ Reference: Capital management 1-2%/trade.
$BTC
Nobody going to tell you this.
Market gave you opportunity but you did not listen.
I was watching bitcoin and i realise we are the edge right now and a sharp fall from here would be like a roller coaster ride.
Lmao i sincerely believe bitcoin can go down again, its now or never situation for $BTC
If all geo politics remains fine, then the rally will continue otherwise see you guys at $50k nothing in between.
Next week also has too much news so i am expecting big things ahead.
NEVER SELL YOUR BITCOIN thesis is ready to prove wrong.

$BTC
Analysis of buying area and target
• Support area (Buy):
• Region 1: 79,500 - 80,000. This is the psychological support area and there is a confluence of MA10.
• Region 2 (Safer): 78,300 (MA20). If the price drops deeper, this is the ideal bottoming point for a new bullish wave.
• Resistance area (Sell/Take profit):
• Goal 1: 82,842. The nearest old peak. If this zone is broken, BTC will enter a new price discovery area (Price Discovery).
• Stop Loss (Stop Loss): If you buy in the 80,000 area, the stop loss point should be placed below the 78,000 area (break MA20) to ensure capital safety.
Subjective evaluation:
The current daily candle is a small green candle after a previous red candle, indicating that buyers are trying to regain control. However, the trading volume (VOL) needs to be monitored further to confirm the thrust.
Advice: With a new buy position, you can consider splitting capital (DCA). Buy a part at the current price and wait more in the lower support areas if there is a "backtest" rhythm. Avoid entering the "All-in" command at this short-term peak.
Note: The cryptocurrency market is high-risk, the analysis is for reference only based on image data, not investment advice.

$BTC Finally abandoned by everyone,
because BTC has been oscillating around 80000 without dropping.
I see a bear market; this rebound at 82800 has already hit the ceiling,
many are calling it a bull market, saying a breakout above 80000 is just the beginning.
Shorting recently has been a no-show,
while going long has been raking it in.
A lot of big players have been frequently posting about their drinking and late nights.
Looks like those calling for a short are under too much pressure.
Really afraid it’ll hit 90K,
a frog says he wants to eat a pound of sh*t,
I’m scared that others might send me half a pound; should I eat it or not?
But I have a hunch that the US stock market is about to drop; it’s already surged so high, it’s bound to take a hit and massacre the retail traders.
There’s no way it keeps going up.
Many say that the two old guys are meeting in the next few days, the stock market will rise again,
but many times, it’s just us retail traders being naive.
Often, what seems like good news ends up being a guillotine instead.
Retail traders get slaughtered.
Then, it will also drag BTC down.
Anyway, I think it’s already topped out; any short positions above 80000, you better hold tight.
If you don’t have any now,
how about shorting at the current price of 80200?
Oh boy,
they're afraid I’ll give a signal, and when I do, BTC is just going to shoot up to 180K.
A sh*tcoin is just a sh*tcoin; I’m acting like a war wolf now, do you think I can pull it off? $BTC
#OKXPreIPOPerpsGoLive #AprilNFPDropsTonight #TrumpCallsItALoveTap

BREAKING: BlackRock sells $98,000,000 worth of $BTC

