Lei06

[Analysis: Bitcoin May Face Pullback Pressure, Market Sentiment Turns Cautious Ahead of CPI Release] Market analysis points out that with the US April CPI data set to be released on May 12, Bitcoin may face greater pullback pressure. The latest forecast from the Cleveland Fed shows that the overall US April CPI year-over-year may rise to 3.56%, higher than March's 3.3%, which could further reinforce market expectations that the Federal Reserve is unlikely to cut rates in the short term, thereby suppressing risk assets like Bitcoin. The analysis states that although Bitcoin remained strong after several previous inflation data releases that exceeded expectations, current market support has weakened compared to before. Especially after Strategy paused Bitcoin purchases, institutional absorption capacity for new Bitcoin supply has declined, and market sensitivity to CPI data may rise again. Technically, Bitcoin's daily chart is forming a classic "rising wedge" pattern. If the price breaks below the key support level around $84,000, it may further test near $70,000; if it successfully breaks above the 200-day moving average resistance, it could open an upward space between $90,000 and $95,000. $BTC

Today, an on-chain data firm called Santiment made a somewhat unsettling observation: The bullish voices for BTC on social media are soaring today. But BTC itself remains motionless. BTC is at $80,787 today, with a 24h range of less than $1,000, making it one of the quietest days recently. Santiment's conclusion: this rally might be temporary. The logic is straightforward. You bought BTC at $70K, now it's $80K, what do you do? If you plan to hold, you don’t need to post anything; you just wait. If you start saying on social media, "BTC is going to $100K!", one possibility is you’re pumping yourself up, another is you’re trying to find someone to take the bag for you—whether consciously or not, both are true. When bullish voices multiply, there are two explanations: One is: many newcomers haven’t entered yet, and these voices are recruiting them—meaning the rally still has fuel. The other is: most who want to enter already have, and the remaining "bullish voices" are just those already in, cheering each other on—so where is the new buying pressure? Santiment’s concern today is the second scenario. Market sluggishness itself is a signal. A market genuinely brewing a big rally isn’t this quiet. BTC at $80K moved only 0.14% intraday UTC, with a 24h range shorter than the length of the Shanghai subway—this isn’t storing energy, it’s waiting for someone to make a decision. Waiting for whom to decide? Waiting for those hovering around $80K to finally choose "in" or "out". The louder the calls, the more cautious the steps—this is what Santiment is saying today, and BTC’s standstill at $80K confirms it. $BTC

Being an official isn't easy, can't even play a game. Now I can go home and play with peace of mind.

Transparent stair corridor. With this design, who would dare to wear a skirt? 😳

LAB today $4.927, UTC intraday +4.88%, 24h +15.24%, high touched $5.077. First, let's talk about the most peculiar numerical pattern tracking LAB in this series: Long-short ratio latest 10 periods curve: 27.13% → 26.90% → 27.78% → 28.48% → 29.21% → 29.70% → 28.53% → 29.33% → 29.21% → 28.76% (latest) Short positions 71.24% — still the most extreme short target in this series. But Taker: 1.0803 → 0.9974 → 1.0407 → 1.3390 → 1.2210 → 1.1452 → 1.1909 → 1.1635 → 1.0944 → 1.1252 (latest) 9 out of 10 periods exceed 1.0. Only the 2nd period (0.9974) is slightly below 1.0, the rest are all active buyers sweeping orders. The 4th period was the most aggressive: 1.3390 — in that period, buyers were 33.9% more active than sellers. This is the longest continuous stretch of Taker exceeding 1.0 since this series started tracking LAB. On the OI side: Open Interest contract volume 10-period high 23,055,896 Open Interest USD 10-period high $109.52M Implied average entry price ≈ $109.52M ÷ 23,055,896 ≈ $4.751, current price $4.927 Short accounts (71.24%) entered around $4.75, currently floating loss about -3.7% today. Long accounts (28.76%) entered around $4.75, currently floating profit about +3.7% today. The contradiction lies here: 71% of accounts chose to short, but the active order sweeping has always been by buyers — indicating shorts are passive limit orders, longs are actively attacking. More passive people, but the active ones are fierce. Long logic: Taker exceeded 1.0 for 9 consecutive periods, buyers are not passively accepting but actively chasing — momentum is on the long side. 71% shorts = 71% potential forced short covering power, once price continues upward, short stop losses will accelerate the rally. Entry: $4.75-$4.85 pullback (near implied average price support) Targets: $5.20 / $5.50 Stop loss: $4.40 (below 24h low $4.087 with buffer zone) Short logic: 71% short accounts are not without reason — $5.077 high was rejected once, $5.00 is a psychological resistance, short-term +15% gain, profit-taking demand exists. Entry: $5.00-$5.10 rebound resistance zone short Targets: $4.50 / $4.20 Stop loss: $5.30 valid breakout Most dangerous move today: naked short near $5.00. Short accounts are the majority, but Taker has continuously told you for 9 periods that the active attackers are not shorts. Until Taker reverses, every naked short is walking straight into a sustained 9-period active buyer sweep. Fear & Greed: 47 (Neutral) LAB's contradiction today: 71% accounts short, but Taker 9/10 periods exceed 1.0, buyers active; $5.00 is key — if broken, short covering accelerates; if not, short-term accumulated longs face profit-taking pressure. $LAB

ETH today $2,327. One number: Long ratio, 68.19%. Two days ago in this series, the ETH long extreme was 72.86% — "14 sessions of one-sided expansion, Takers shifting from passive to active." Today's 10-session curve: 72.86% → 72.58% → 70.90% → 70.64% → 70.34% → 70.23% → 70.13% → 69.48% → 68.52% → 68.19% 10 consecutive sessions of decline, down 4.67 percentage points. But the price is higher than on the day it was 72.86%. Long positions are quietly decreasing, but the price hasn't dropped — this is a form of tension. Short logic: 68% longs represent an extremely crowded long structure. Every batch of longs reduced means a group of people turning from buyers to sellers or exiting. If the long ratio continues to slide below 65%, this reduction pressure will gradually turn into price pressure. Key observation point: Will the long ratio accelerate below 65%? Long logic: The price hasn't fallen along with the declining long ratio — indicating the current position structure is still supporting the price. If the long ratio stops falling around 68%, it signals longs are holding at a high level. Key observation point: Will $2,298 (24h low) hold? Reason not to chase: When both logics hold true, it's time to wait, not to act impulsively. Fear & Greed: 47 (Neutral), moving from Fear into Neutral. Strategy in one sentence: Longs at 68% are still extremely crowded, but the price is holding — now is not the time to rush, wait for the direction to emerge first. $ETH

【USDC Treasury minted an additional 250 million USDC on the Solana chain】 On May 10, according to Whale Alert monitoring, USDC Treasury minted an additional 250 million USDC on the Solana chain 6 hours ago.

[An Ethereum OG Transfers 52,000 ETH to a New Address After 3 Years of Silence] On May 9, according to lookonchain monitoring, an Ethereum OG address, silent for 3 years, transferred all 52,170 ETH (approximately $120.61 million) to a new wallet 4 hours ago. This address had withdrawn 42,572 ETH from Kraken 6 years ago, when the ETH price was only $246, with a total value of about $10.48 million. $ETH

Horror novelist Koji Suzuki has passed away Everyone who has seen "The Ring" will never forget it. The original author, Japanese horror novelist Koji Suzuki, passed away on May 8 at a hospital in Tokyo at the age of 68.

Tonight's leaderboard has one thing worth mentioning separately: The biggest gainer is not the hottest today. SAHARA is up 26.49% today, ranking first in gains. But if you look at the trading volume, SAHARA is ¥591 million, while BILL is ¥942 million—the highest trading volume belongs to BILL, not SAHARA. What does this mean? One possibility is: SAHARA's 26% gain today was pushed up by a small group in a thin liquidity environment—few participants, but a sharp price increase. Another possibility is: BILL has appeared on this leaderboard many times, with a group continuously following it, bringing nearly ¥1 billion in trading volume each time it appears—BILL's popularity relies not on a single-day surge but on consistent returns. If you only look at today's gains, you'll notice SAHARA. If you look at the past three days, you'll see BILL has been consistently present. These two "discoveries" reflect two different participation logics: One is chasing the new, the sudden 26% surge today; The other is tracking, following the familiar face that repeatedly appears on the leaderboard. Both logics are active on this leaderboard today. Which one you choose is really asking yourself: what kind of opportunity do you want to chase? SAHARA is the top gainer today at +26.49%, but BILL leads in trading volume at ¥942 million—the biggest gainer is not the hottest; the hottest is the one that keeps appearing. $SAHARA $BILL $CORE