比特帝大币哥

Entered the blockchain in 2016, now a 10-year veteran! Experienced three rounds of bull and bear markets, starting from altcoins! Believes in BTC, loves Ethereum, deeply involved in quantitative relationship technology, on-chain level 2, with technical indicators being the Vegas channel and Fibonacci sequence filtering MACD and KDJ. Currently settled in New Zealand! Friends are welcome to gather! Let's contribute to the web3 cause together! $BTC $ETH $OKB $SOL $DOGE

Are all the big influencers blindly shouting buy signals now? Seeing the image below, I am really speechless. Haven't talked about the big cycle trend for a long time! Last year I clearly said, if BTC falls below 69,000, then 126,000 will be the major peak for the next one or two years. #神之三和 Now the five-wave rise is completely finished, and next is definitely the ABC corrective wave. Currently, wave A is ending, wave B is rebounding, and the subsequent wave C decline will definitely break through the 60,000 level. The 29,000-31,000 range is the safe bottom-buying zone. BTCUSDT Perpetual 76,300 -2.19% There are always people arguing: no negative news, interest rate cuts, Fed leadership change, US stocks soaring, BTC must rebound! Everything has an end; there is no forever rising market. Right now, it's all AI hype bubbles, with no substantial breakthroughs, purely propped up by expectations. Once expectations collapse, US stocks will face a major crash and circuit breaker, and Bitcoin will definitely follow with a big drop. Let's wait and see! #三星罢工倒计时：KOSPI熔断，日损$7亿 $BTC $ETH $DOGE

Tonight 760000 Can it hold?

The core focus is whether the US economy is truly cooling down. Weak data → The market continues to bet on a rate cut in September Strong data → The Federal Reserve will have to maintain high interest rates for longer The second nuclear bomb: Nvidia's earnings report at 5 AM Thursday There is no other. The entire global market is waiting for a single statement from Nvidia. Don’t care about how much profit it made. No one cares. The market only watches these four points: - Whether AI demand can continue to explode - Progress on the Blackwell chip - How much the China business is actually affected - Whether next quarter’s guidance is strong enough Recently, rumors about chip export restrictions have been flying everywhere. This time, the China revenue data will be critical. No exaggeration: Nvidia’s earnings report will directly determine the life or death of the AI sector. It will also either drag down or lift the entire crypto market. Exceeding expectations → US tech stocks, AI computing power, and related cryptocurrencies all surge to new highs Falling short of expectations → Overvalued AI stocks crash collectively, dragging global risk assets down with them One last reminder: Market volatility next week will be beyond your imagination. Don’t go all in. Don’t use leverage. Don’t guess directions recklessly. Wait until both nuclear bombs have landed before making a move

Next, there is an hourly-level support around 76000 to see if it can hold. If it doesn't hold, there is a high probability that it will retest around 74700 tonight

Crypto and US stocks collectively crash❗️ Two nuclear bombs next week❗️ Deciding everyone's wallets❗️ Completely blown apart❗️ Crypto and US stocks plummet across the board. Bloodbath❗️ Next week is the real do-or-die week. Everyone's wallets are tied to these two events. Don't miss a single word. First nuclear bomb: Thursday 2 AM Federal Reserve April meeting minutes Last rate decision vote was 8:4. The biggest internal split in the Fed since 1992. This time, the market is focused on three questions: - What exactly is the Fed arguing about internally - Has anyone started leaning towards a rate cut - What will happen to rates in the second half of the year There are only two outcomes: Dovish → Tech stocks, BTC, and all risk assets collectively rebound Hawkish → US Treasury yields surge, high-valuation AI sector gets hammered Thursday 8:30 PM Unemployment + PMI data

It's highly likely that the US and Iran still won't reach an agreement. The blonde guy keeps drawing K-lines; once it rallies, you can short. The US stock market is currently at a high level, and Bitcoin's rise is weak. Wait for the US stock market to adjust, and the waterfall drop will continue.

Assistant Wanwan is originally from Shanghai and now settled in Beijing. She owns two cars and two houses, one for herself and one for her parents' retirement. All of this was earned in the crypto world! $BinanceLife 8 years ago, I was kicked out by my ex-husband. I vowed to live a different life. So I took a borrowed 300,000 yuan to enter the crypto world. I also suffered losses along the way; at the worst, my account had only 60,000 yuan left, but I didn't quit. #CryptoSurvivalRules Using the simplest methods: rolling positions, compounding, and steadfastly holding through cycles, over 8 years and 2,880 days, I made tens of millions. The most brutal wave was a base position that multiplied 400 times in 4 months, netting 20 million yuan in profit in a single trade. $EDEN It sounds like a joke, but these are real lessons learned with real money lost. Today, I summarize a few principles to help you avoid big pitfalls: 1️⃣ Don't be greedy in a bull market; only ride the main uptrend of one sector. Chasing hot spots equals paying fees; focus on the leaders and the catch-up rallies. $OPEN 2️⃣ Buy new, not old. Old coins only have nostalgia; new narratives and new sectors attract new buyers. 3️⃣ Respect the cycle. A cycle lasts four years. When even delivery guys are talking crypto, immediately clear out altcoins. Don't be greedy for the last bite, or the bear market's 90% retracement will teach you a lesson. Trading isn't about being smart; it's about endurance, patience, and respect for the market.

Bold prediction: A black swan event in the US stock market may erupt within a few months before or after the midterm elections, and the crypto space is unlikely to remain unaffected. It can even be said more directly: the crypto space itself already has the conditions for an independent crash. 1. Here, two logics need to be distinguished: if the US stock market crashes later, it will be the cumulative result of midterm bubbles, valuations, liquidity, war costs, and declining economic efficiency; whereas if the crypto space crashes again in the short term, it is more likely caused by Trump and Wall Street artificially creating volatility. The goal is not to undermine the long-term development of the crypto industry but to create short-term waves again to complete profit harvesting. This is not contradictory. The US, as the global leader in the crypto industry, has basically set its direction this year; but supporting the industry long-term does not mean it won’t exploit industry volatility for short-term profits. This is the dynamic relationship between short-term interests and long-term strategy. Truly understanding this requires long-term observation of the industry, not just surface-level news. 2. In the next few articles, I will focus on analyzing the problems of the US stock market. Because most crash indicators for the US stock market have gradually come into place, the core reason it hasn’t truly crashed yet is that Trump is still maintaining market appearances for the midterm elections, continuously supporting the market through various news, policy expectations, and diplomatic events. And the Wall Street bigwigs accompanying Trump on his visit to China are also directly or indirectly exchanging interests with him to jointly bolster market confidence. 3. Two signals to be most wary of recently: First, the Buffett Indicator in the US has risen to about 230%, far exceeding the normal valuation range, reaching a historically extreme high; second, the Gates Foundation sold its last 7.7 million shares of Microsoft stock on Friday, completely liquidating its Microsoft holdings. A year ago, Microsoft was still the foundation’s largest holding, with about 28.5 million shares valued at approximately $10.7 billion. In just four quarters, Microsoft went from the largest holding to zero. This is not an ordinary reduction but a highly alarming danger signal. 4. Regarding crypto market manipulation: Trump’s visit to China ended smoothly, but the tolerant attitude toward Iran in the first half of the month is very likely to suddenly turn into a direct military escalation, catching the market off guard and causing longs to liquidate or take blunt losses to absorb more margin, ultimately completing liquidity clearance. #三星罢工倒计时：KOSPI熔断，日损$7亿 $BTC $ETH $DOGE

In human nature, the main force doesn't need to deceive you all at once; they only need to make you gradually lower your discipline on the 30th, 60th, or 99th time until when the real market comes, you have no chips, no patience, and no confidence. In terms of cycles, the real big market movement always happens at the moment "no one believes there is still a market," not when you think "this time is different." The main upward wave is a complete path; you shouldn't break it into fragments with your own hands because the main force always goes through shakeouts, fluctuations, sharp drops, and creates panic to make retail investors give up their chips, then in the main upward wave—the main upward wave is a complete and traceable path. Many people move around, breaking one opportunity into fragments. The essence of the main upward wave is compounding; if you move in the middle, it's over. Now altcoins have been down for five years! What needed to be done has already been done! $BTC #特朗普持续施压伊朗：国际油价直线拉升

Bitcoin has long since returned to normal. Mid-term target is 240,000! Stop fantasizing about any significant pullback. In this bull market, including the last and the one before that, the chances of Bitcoin experiencing a substantial drop are visibly rare. The noticeable deep pullbacks are almost always black swan events: like 3/12, 5/19, 1994, 10/11. Now Bitcoin is at the 80,000 level, and expecting it to suddenly drop by $10,000 is actually very difficult. Moreover, after such a severe sharp drop, do you still expect it to continue falling? With macro trends upward and the overall trend upward, it will only go up. At most, it will just consolidate sideways for a while, and you can’t even see the simplest accumulation. This is a typical aftereffect of the market. People have been scared by the previous intense volatility; they fear a pullback at every rise and think something bad will happen at every sideways move, completely forgetting what a normal bull market rhythm looks like. The Prince has always said, the hardest part in a bull market is not being bullish, but adapting to the rise. 95% of the time it torments human nature, and the last 5% of the time it harvests hesitation! #三星罢工倒计时：KOSPI熔断，日损$7亿